REITS IN THE SOUTHEAST
Industry experts discuss the ride REITs have taken over the last several
years.
Julie Fritz
During
the high-tech and dot-com boom several years ago, real estate
investment trusts (REITs) fell out of focus. Because of the
high potential profits touted by these other industries, many
investors felt that it was a good time to shift a lot of their
capital to investments where they could make short-term gains.
"Unfortunately, this probably led to more short-term
losses for most of those investors," says Chuck DiRocco,
senior director of industry analysis with the National Association
of Real Estate Investment Trusts (NAREIT). Fortunately, REITs
have since regained any attention that may have been lost.
Stability and solid returns, two of REITs' most attractive
qualities, seem to be favorable characteristics for many individuals
and institutional investors.
The Appeal of Short-Term Gains
"REITs typically pay a nice dividend, but they do not offer the huge
upside that everyone expected from the high-tech and dot-com stocks,"
says John Euart, managing director of investments for Regency Centers'
Southeast region. "REIT investments are generally solid, and you're going
to get a good return -- maybe not the opportunity to hit a home run like
people thought they would in the high-tech and dot-com industries, but
typically a very stable investment." "REIT stocks are not considered to
be growth stocks like dot-coms," says Larry Gildea, region director for
Mid-Atlantic region with Liberty Property Trust. "This means that REIT
share prices would never be expected to escalate in the same manner as
the dot-com or tech companies share prices would be expected to escalate."
David Steinwedell, vice president, managing director of acquisitions
and dispositions with Wells Real Estate Funds, agrees. "REITs have always
been an investment vehicle designed by current income -- they are not designed
to be growth stocks," he says. "REITs fell out of favor because the market
realized they aren't growth stocks and went after the dot-com and high-tech
stocks. Now, with the economy cooling off, people are coming back and
saying that having some income is a good thing."
Needless to say, most high-tech and dot-com stocks did not come through
with the high returns that were expected for a long term. In turn, real
estate is becoming more appealing for investors. REITs provide good returns
-- perhaps not as high as other stocks that are more risky investments
-- but many investors are realizing that a steady, less volatile investment
is not bad, especially in today's economy.
A Shift in Perspective
"A combination of expectations being lower for the stock market and the
fact that REITs are so attractive from a yield standpoint have made real
estate a much better-performing sector in the last year or so," says Tom
Peck, senior vice president of investor relations with Duke Realty Corporation.
"If you want to get a high yield, I don't think there are very many investments
that offer a better yield than what real estate offers to investors."
"I think that over the past year and a half many individuals have started
to question the economy," says DiRocco. "A lot of investors are starting
to look for a less volatile investment that offers a nice, steady stream
of dividends and has also shown a nice flow of returns over the last 20
years."
Gildea agrees, adding that larger, well-capitalized REITs are being viewed
as safer investment vehicles. "Most REITs have built-in earnings increases
through contractual rent increases, so there is a certain predictability
in income from year to year," he says.
Steinwedell notes that much of Wells' success has occurred because people
recognize the company's ability to pay a dividend and have tenants backing
that dividend with long-term leases. This ability along with the firm's
diversified portfolio -- across industries and across the United States
-- is attractive to investors.
Current Strategies
"If you look at the activities of retail REITs over the past few years
versus their existing and go-forward objectives, you will definitely notice
a shift in strategy," says Gary Saykaly of Atlanta-based NewBridge Retail
Advisors. "During the post-1998 capital market fallout, REITs turned to
alternative avenues for capitalization: joint ventures and capital recycling
programs (non-fit asset sales). With REITs having better access to capital
and the war chest that they have built up, many are again focused on revenue
growth via acquisitions and/or development."
Citing business as usual for 2002 with increased expectations, Regency
Centers is a prime example of this strategy. The company is currently
selling some of its assets, buying properties on which to develop grocery-anchored
centers and buying existing properties as pure acquisitions or for redevelopment.
"For 2002, all of our goals and objectives for new development starts,
acquisitions and completions are higher than they were for 2001," says
Euart. "Because of our strategy of dealing with the Number 1 or 2 neighborhood,
grocery-anchored centers in the market, we really haven't suffered as
much of an economic setback as some of our competitors have."
Wells Real Estate Funds is also having a successful year -- the company
plans to complete $1 billion in acquisitions in 2002. The fully integrated
real estate investment management firm offers three ways to invest in
real estate: through a limited partnership, a mutual fund and a non-traded
REIT. Wells works hard to make sure its national portfolio is as diverse
as possible.
The firm recently completed a REIT investment in the Atlanta area, its
first in 8 years. Wells acquired the Novartis building, a 100,087-square-foot
facility in Duluth, Georgia. "We are trying to get back into markets or
enter new markets. Atlanta has been a market that we would like to invest
in, but the pricing has not been what we would have liked," says Steinwedell.
"And what we've found is that some of the institutional investors and
other investors have shied away from Atlanta because of the short-term
vacancy problem. We can still take a look at Atlanta on a long-term basis,
because the long-term prospects of a city like Atlanta are excellent.
It's going to have great population growth and great job growth over time.
These things make it attractive for us to buy in a market like Atlanta."
Wells has also made recent purchases in several Florida markets, and
Steinwedell says the company will consider purchasing properties in almost
any market. "The driver in our investment strategy starts with understanding
the tenant and its credit. The way we work is the exact opposite of the
way many real estate companies work. Most real estate deals start with
the real estate, then move into the return and hope that the tenants are
there. We start with tenants, then we move into making sure the returns
work and the real estate is usable."
On the development side, Peck says Duke Realty is doing some development
but not as much as the company would during a more normal economy. Duke's
current focus is on keeping occupancies high. "We love to do acquisitions
and developments, and we plan to do more as the economy improves," says
Peck. "We have over $1 billion of debt capacity right now, and we have
the rare situation of having more money than we have opportunities. The
current acquisition market is not all that attractive from a buyer standpoint."
Liberty Property Trust's primary thrust right now is also to maintain
occupancy within its portfolio. "These are not easy times for real estate
companies, so our feeling is that our focus needs to be squarely on higher
occupancy," says Gildea. "We are only constructing buildings on a pre-leased
or build-to-suit basis because most markets -- the ones I am active in
-- have higher vacancies than we are comfortable with." Gildea is responsible
for Baltimore; Virginia Beach and Richmond, Virginia; Greensboro, North
Carolina; and Greenville/Spartanburg, South Carolina.
The story is the same for acquiring and selling properties. "Now is not
a particularly good time to be a buyer or a seller," Gildea continues.
Sales are of course still happening, but there is not the same volume
of sales that normally occurs. "Companies that are selling are selling
because perhaps they are re-strategizing. For instance, we sold our entire
portfolio in Charleston, South Carolina, in December 2001. We did that
because we felt Charleston did not have enough growth opportunity for
us. The company that purchased this portfolio, Jupiter Realty, bought
the property because they wanted to be in that marketplace and they operate
on a more entrepreneurial basis in smaller markets."
The Future of REITs
"The REIT market right now is performing strongly," says DiRocco. "Our
index is up about 10.5 percent so far in 2002. It is outpacing the Dow
Jones, S&P 500 and the Nasdaq."
Saykaly agrees: "The future is positive for the REIT sector. Dispositions
of non-fit sales will continue as many REITs divest of assets in smaller
markets." For example, Acadia Realty Trust recently disposed of 17 centers,
four of which were in the Southeast. Saykaly continues, "From a stock
market perspective, REITs will continue to secure market interest for
a variety of reasons, which include increased size of existing REITs,
historical performance of the strong operators, volatile nature of the
other stock indices and low available returns in competing investments."
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